Welcome to Overreaction Monday (Week 2). This is where we come to take a completely reasonable look at this week’s slate of NFL games and react to them in a calm, cool, and collected manner. Just kidding!
It’s Overreaction Monday! Let’s get crazy and see what the guys have to say.
Ty Recino’s Overreactions
Brian Thomas Jr. won’t Finish As a Top-20 Receiver
It’s now two games in a row that Brian Thomas Jr has finished with less than 10 fantasy points in PPR leagues. There are over 40 receivers with more fantasy points on the season than Brian Thomas Jr. We have the obvious players like Malik Nabers and Ja’Marr Chase. For the rest, there are players like Wan’Dale Robinson, Elic Ayomanor, and KaVontae Turphin that are all more fantasy relevant thus far than BTJ.
It has not been due to a lack of the Jaguars’ offense playing poorly. The Jaguars’ offense has actually been very surprisingly good this year, putting up 53 points through their first two games. Trevor Lawrence has also completed 43 passes, with only 5 of those being caught by Thomas Jr. The only positive that BTJ has going for him is that he’s top 15 in the league in targets, with 19.
He has one of the worst catch rates so far, and I’m very concerned with the inability to bring in these passes. He’s been one of the biggest busts, and I don’t think it’ll get better. When BTJ went off last year, it was when Mac Jones was his QB and not necessarily Trevor Lawrence. With Mac out of the picture and T Law fully healthy, the worry is there for BTJ. With current trends, I don’t see Thomas Jr climbing back up into the top 10, let alone the top 20 where he was initially drafted.
Verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION
Russell Wilson is Relevant Again?
After 3 years of mediocrity, Russell Wilson came out of nowhere and put up an all-time performance against the Cowboys. Russell Wilson put up a career high of 450 yards. It was a legendary performance in a legendary game where the Giants just fell flat. Russell Wilson is rostered in less than 10% of leagues.
He’s going to be a very popular waiver wire pickup in week 3 and for good reason. The game against the Cowboys is not a fluke, and the Giants are going to be a passing team again. This will be the first time we’ve truly seen them go heavy on the pass since the Eli Manning days. The Giants’ rush game has been rather inefficient as they’ve only put up 158 yards, averaging 3.6 yards per carry. They are currently towards the bottom of the league in rushing, and it doesn’t look like it’s going to get better.
Looking at their schedule ahead, they face favorable passing matchups. On top of that, Russell Wilson finally has a top receiver again in Malik Nabers. This is not something he had in Denver or Pittsburgh. All the stars are aligning for Russell Wilson to be a fantasy machine. It’s not a total overreaction to see him do this, but I want to see Russ stay consistent before I fully buy in on him.
Verdict: Need to see more. Slight overreaction
GOYAADi’s Overreactions
You can drop TreVeyon Henderson
It’s time to face the music…Treveyon Henderson is no longer a must-stash fantasy asset, and managers should feel comfortable cutting bait. Week 1 gave us a flicker of hope, as Henderson handled a respectable workload with 11 touches, including catching all six of his targets. But that glimmer dimmed fast. In Week 2, Henderson’s usage cratered to just five total touches while losing kick return duty. Veteran Antonio Gibson saw the field more often and out-touched him. That’s not a fluke; it’s an ominous sign that New England’s coaching staff realized he wasn’t quite ready for the big show.
And to make matters worse for Henderson truthers, Rhamondre Stevenson has planted his flag again as the clear alpha back. After a quiet opener, Stevenson stormed back in Week 2 with 16 touches, reclaiming his bell-cow role and reminding the Patriots who runs (and receives) this backfield. He dropped a career-best 88 receiving yards on Miami with a highlight-reel fingertip grab that went for 55 of those yards.
The numbers are damning: Henderson’s workload dropped by more than 50% in just one week, while Gibson’s passing-down role and Stevenson’s early-down hammering leave almost no pie left to slice. Fantasy football is a ruthless game of opportunity, not wishful thinking. When a rookie RB slides to the back of a three-headed committee this quickly, he’s not a hidden gem, he’s a roster clogger. Don’t waste a bench spot on a name when the usage screams irrelevance. Cut your losses on Henderson now, trade him if you can, and use that roster spot on a player with actual upside.
Verdict: Depending on your bench size, likely not an overreaction
The Chiefs’ Dynasty is over!
The Kansas City Chiefs’ dynasty isn’t just a bit wobbly; it’s teetering on the edge of collapse. After stumbling to a 0-2 start, history is already against them. Since the NFL expanded to a 14-team playoff, fewer than 12% of teams that begin 0-2 claw their way into the postseason. The Chiefs don’t have the luxury of a soft schedule to make up ground. Ahead lie a gauntlet of heavyweights: matchups with the Ravens, Bills, and 49ers loom, not to mention divisional showdowns that suddenly look far more daunting than in years past.
The AFC West is no longer a cakewalk. Justin Herbert and the Chargers are finally putting it together under Jim Harbaugh’s steady hand, the Broncos look revitalized with a top-10 defense, and even the Raiders are fielding an offense that can score in bunches. For a Kansas City team that has lived and died by Patrick Mahomes’ magic, the cracks are showing. The offensive line protection has been shaky. The remnants currently filling their receiver corps remain unreliable, and the once-dominant defense is giving up chunk plays at the worst times.
This is not the juggernaut of years past; this is a flawed roster digging an early grave in a loaded conference. Dynasties don’t end quietly; they collapse epicly under the weight of their own greatness. And make no mistake: at 0-2 with a brutal road ahead and reinforcements not yet on the horizon, the Chiefs’ reign of terror is officially over.
Verdict: 12% Overreaction
Chase Thornton’s Overreactions
RJ Harvey is droppable!
Once again, the fantasy community thumbed its collective nose at reality and tried to will a player into a fantasy-friendly role. Even after a lackluster preseason (but he was repping with the first-teamers!!), fantasy managers refused to entertain the idea that J.K. Dobbins could somehow beat out the speedy rookie for the lead job.
And then reality happened.
Dobbins has dominated the snaps, the opportunities, and the fantasy production in the Denver backfield. He’s seen basically 50% of the halfback snaps and 62% of the halfback opportunities (targets and carries). That’s led to him scoring over 64% of the Broncos’ halfback fantasy points. He was RB13 in Week 1 and sat RB14 for Week 2 after Sunday’s games.
Heading into Monday night, Dobbins is the overall RB11. Harvey, meanwhile, hasn’t done much with 30% of the halfback snaps, or his 13 total opportunities. Outside of his big 50-yard ramble in Week 1, highlights are scarce. And he’s been barely usable in fantasy, ranking RB41 after Sunday. That’s not what you wanted when drafting him as RB22 in the fifth round.
Dobbins was the overall RB23 last season, and RB17 in Half-PPR points per game. He managed to stay mostly healthy in 2024 while seeing his highest workload as a pro. He clearly has Sean Payton’s trust, both as a runner and in the pass game (as a blocker and receiver). Harvey saw a slight downtick in his usage rate in Week 2, even as his snap share increased by over three percent. Harvey’s cooked.
Not so fast. I’ve admitted to sharing a metaphorical tent with Dobbins on Brokenrunningback Mountain. But no matter how good he’s looking so far, we can’t forget who we’re talking about here. Dobbins has an absolutely brutal injury record as a pro. He’s never played a full season. Even though he missed a month in the second half of last season, he still saw by far his most touches. It’s a good bet that even if he holds onto the lion’s share of the backfield, he’s going to miss some time.
Harvey hasn’t had many highlights. But the one he did have was indicative of his potential. Despite his explosivity, he hasn’t been targeted much in the pass game. But Payton seems reluctant to use Badie as a runner. Harvey would have at least the early down and goal line work during Dobbins’ absence. And they haven’t used him in the pass game. It sucks that you drafted him so high when he’s proven thus far to be a textbook handcuff. But he IS a textbook handcuff. A valuable starting role is there for the taking (and keeping) in the event Dobbins misses time. In the meantime, he has some independent FLEX value owing to his abilities. It’s too early in the season, you spent too much on him, and Dobbins has too shaky a foundation for you to bail on Harvey just yet.
Verdict: Overreaction
The 49ers have the two best QBs in the NFC West!
The ‘Niners are once again winning the quarterback game. Brock Purdy, arguably the premier on-field and fantasy quarterback in the NFC West the past two years, goes down with a turf toe injury, and in steps Mac Jones. A former starter, Jones played passably well, filling in for an injured Trevor Lawrence in Jacksonville in 2024. He picked up where he left off when he started for Purdy in Week 2.
Jones would turn in the best fantasy game of any NFC West quarterback so far this season. He led the team to a win and kept his main fantasy weapons viable. Considering the competition (Sam Darnold, an inconsistent Kyler Murray, and an aging Matthew Stafford), could you say the 49ers have the two best quarterbacks in their division?
You could. And you’d be wrong. Enthusiastic, maybe, but wrong all the same. Listen, you want to say they have the best quarterback room in the West? Fine. I wouldn’t argue. But backup Mac Jones is just that –a backup. Shaky health aside, Stafford is still one of the most talented passers in the league, and there’s no better leader. Murray is the West’s finest athlete at the position. And his fantasy performance has trailed only Purdy’s when healthy the past two seasons. Sam Darnold may be inconsistent, but he still has a starting gig. And it’s a starting gig he was targeted for by the team that signed him.
Mac Jones played one of the finest games of his career in Week 2. He’s on the short list of candidates for best backup quarterback in the league. And there’s fantasy juice there for however long Jones ends up filling in for Purdy. The backup quarterback is always the most popular guy in town. But he’s the backup for a reason. Don’t go all starry-eyed over one game against an overmatched opponent.
Verdict: Overreaction
Well, there you have it, folks. Those are our completely rational and not at all knee-jerk reactions to this week in the NFL. Check back next week for more level-headed fantasy football takes at FSAN.