Welcome to Overreaction Monday (Week 10). This is where we come to take a completely reasonable look at this week’s slate of NFL games and react to them in a calm, cool, and collected manner. Just kidding!
It’s Overreaction Monday! Let’s get crazy and see what the guys have to say.
Chase Thornton’s Overreactions
The Colts’ offensive line is going to cost managers a lot of playoff spots!!
The Indianapolis Colts are flying high again after a big win in Berlin. They’re now 8-2 and lead the AFC. In the Berlin game, Bernhard Raimann, Quenton Nelson, and company paved the way for Jonathan Taylor to steamroll the Falcons to the tune of 286 total yards, three touchdowns, and 48.1 half-PPR points. Taylor is the overall RB1 on the season and is having his best fantasy season ever. In fact, Taylor is in the midst of the best running back fantasy season at least since Christian McCaffrey’s 2019, if not LaDainian Tomlinson’s 2006. On top of that, Daniel Jones is QB5 overall and QB9 in points per game. This, after coming off the board in drafts as QB31 (one spot after Anthony Richardson, Sr.) And Michael Pittman Jr. is a top-10 fantasy WR. Sounds like they’re WINNING managers’ playoff spots. What gives?
I’ll tell ya what gives (he said in his best 1930s gangster voice), the Colts’ offensive line gives. As in, he gives up a ton of sacks lately. Jones has been hit hard in the Colts’ last few games. Overall, Indy is actually one of the better pass-blocking teams in the league, measured by sack rate. But in Germany, they gave up seven sacks to Atlanta. A week prior, they gave up five sacks to the Steelers. Both of those teams reside among the top three teams in blitz percentage. Indianapolis faces the Chiefs in Week 11, who rank sixth. And they play the Seahawks in the heart of the fantasy playoffs, who have generated elite pressure without the aid of the blitz. If you watched the Falcons game, it was jailbreak-city. Jones was actually bleeding from his mouth at one point. If the Colts’ line can’t get it together, they’re going to get fantasy starter Jones hurt. And that’s going to hurt his and Pittman’s managers hard at just the wrong time. Buckle up.
Verdict: NOT an Overreaction
JJ McCarthy is going to cost managers a lot of playoff spots!!
It has not been especially pretty watching JJ McCarthy as the Vikings’ starter. If you were one of the fantasy managers who took him as the QB19 overall, I’m sorry. McCarthy is just QB35 on the season due to missing a month with an injury. Even accounting for that, though, he’s QB26 on a points per game basis. Hopefully, you were listening to the advice here at FSAN and aren’t relying on him in your lineup. If you were, though, you kinda did that to yourself. Either way, you’re likely scrabbling for a playoff spot, assuming you’re still in contention at all. Your fault, though.
You know who’s not at fault, though? You know who finds themselves at the mercy of McCarthy’s mediocre misadventures? Justin Jefferson’s managers, that’s who. You know, the ones who took last year’s WR2 as this year’s WR2 and were expecting at least somewhat commiserate return? It has been frustrating being a J-Jettas manager this season. He’s the overall WR14, which is great and all, but in four games with McCarthy at quarterback, Jefferson has only had two finishes as a WR2, with his high finish being a WR18 showing in Week 9. That’s not the lineup anchor you targeted in the middle of the first round of your fantasy draft. Jefferson has perhaps the best remaining fantasy strength of schedule among wideouts. It’s going to be beyond frustrating when McCarthy’s performance won’t allow JJ to take advantage.
Verdict: NOT an Overreaction
Tez Johnson needs to be in your fantasy lineup!! Must-start!!
Buccaneers’ rookie wide receiver Tez Johnson had a fantasy breakout performance in Week 10. Johnson tallied his first career multi-touchdown game while catching four of five targets for 42 yards. The 18.2 half-PPR points were a season and career high. He sat at WR8 for the week, pending Monday Night Football. This comes two weeks after he scored touchdowns in back-to-back games. He’s seen 15 targets over the last three games, good for second on the team behind Emeka Egbuka. He, not Sterling Shepard (otherwise known as “Old Reliable”), has emerged as the Bucs’ receiver to roster behind Egbuka. And for that matter, he’s only a half-point behind Egbuka in total fantasy points in that time frame.
So there’s juice to this, right?
Actually… yeah. There kinda is. I just told you, Johnson is basically one catch behind Egbuka in fantasy scoring in the last three games. In that stretch, Johnson is WR17 in fantasy points per game- a mid-level WR2. Only four wide receivers in the league have caught more touchdown passes in the past month. And this is kind of what we can expect from the Buccaneers’ pass offense going forward. No one knows when Chris Godwin may play again. Mike Evans isn’t expected back on the field in time to be fantasy relevant, if at all, this season. Ditto for Jalen McMillan. Johnson is the clear WR2 on a pass-heavy team and will be for the bulk of the fantasy season, if not the foreseeable future. Add him if he’s still available, as he is in the majority of leagues. He’s at worst a FLEX play rest-of-season.
Verdict: NOT an Overreaction
GOYAADi’s Overreactions
TreVeyon Henderson SZN has started.
TreVeyon Henderson SZN has officially arrived, and it’s about time. For weeks, the Patriots coaching staff kept the rookie Ferrari parked in the garage, giving him spot carries behind Rhamondre Stevenson and pretending efficiency didn’t matter. But when Stevenson went down, the floodgates opened, and Henderson made sure nobody forgot what he did at Ohio State. In just three seasons, he piled up 3,761 rushing yards, 853 receiving yards, and 48 total touchdowns. That résumé wasn’t hype; it was foreshadowing.
On Sunday, Henderson erupted for 147 yards and two touchdowns, ripping off scoring runs of 55 and 69 yards that turned defenders into tackling dummies. It was the kind of explosion that makes you wonder what New England was waiting for. The burst, the vision, the patience, it was a coming-out party that’s been delayed by stubborn depth-chart politics. The Patriots may have tried to slow-roll his debut, but you can’t suppress this kind of talent forever. The kid’s ready, the backfield is his, and every fantasy manager who stashed him can finally exhale. Henderson SZN isn’t coming, it’s here.
Verdict: A harmless bout of recency bias
Chris Olave has earned must-start status as a WR1
Alright, let’s crank the hype to 11! Chris Olave just snapped out of his early-season slumber like a man possessed, and the Tyler Shough era might be the spark he needed all along. Through two games with the rookie at the helm, Olave looks like he’s finally back in WR1 territory. That 5-for-104 eruption wasn’t just a stat line; it was a statement. A triple-digit statement! Olave’s first in 2025. Shough let it rip deep, and Olave reminded everyone why he was drafted to be the alpha.
If you benched him before, you might need to issue a public apology, because volume matters and Olave’s getting it. This connection looks dangerous, and fantasy managers who held the line are about to get paid. The Saints may still be finding their rhythm, but one thing’s clear: when Tyler Shough drops back, his eyes go straight to No. 12. Fire him up with confidence, and start him like your championship depends on it. Because, honestly, it might.
Verdict: A tasteful bit of delusion
Matt Stafford will throw for 40 touchdowns
Matthew Stafford has already proven he can hit 40+ passing touchdowns in a season. He reached 41 in both his 2011 season with the Detroit Lions and again in 2021 with the Los Angeles Rams. In 2021, he completed 404 of 601 passes for 4,886 yards, averaged 67.2 % completion, and threw 41 touchdowns. Fast-forward to 2025, Stafford is operating at a high level again: through his first nine games, he has 2,147 yards and 21 passing touchdowns with just two interceptions. Extrapolating over a full 17-game season gives us 39.6 touchdown pace. When you consider the upgraded pass-catcher room that now includes Davante Adams, a known touchdown machine who has already had two multi-touchdown games while catching nine total from Stafford this season, the case strengthens.
Stafford and Adams have linked up for six scores in just the past three games. Historically, when Adams has had a QB who consistently feeds him in scoring situations, he converts. That synergy gives Stafford a “top-target touchdown facilitator” in his arsenal. And, oh yeah, they also have this other all-world receiver named Puka Nacua, who happens to be a yards-after-catch monster and one of the best separators in football. With Adams winning isolation matchups and Nacua carving up zones, Stafford has the weapons, volume, and pedigree to hang another 40-burger season on his résumé.
Verdict: A cautious overreaction
Well, there you have it, folks. Those are our completely rational and not at all knee-jerk reactions to this week in the NFL. Check back next week for more level-headed fantasy football takes at FSAN.