Welcome to Overreaction Monday (Week 13). This is where we come to take a completely reasonable look at this week’s NFL slate and react in a calm, cool, and collected manner. Just kidding!
It’s Overreaction Monday! Let’s get crazy and see what the guys have to say.
Chase Thornton’s Overreactions
You can trust Adonai Mitchell in your starting lineups!!
Adonai Mitchell had a career game in Week 13. His eight catches on twelve targets were both career highs. He also had his first career 100-yard game and scored his first career touchdown. All of that in just his third game in the Big Apple. Mitchell and fellow cast-off John Metchie have found a new home in New York and find themselves atop the depth chart as well. Mitchell has seen more targets and caught more passes in his first three games with the Jets than in any three-game stretch of his Colts tenure. He fell out of favor hard and fast in Indianapolis after his Week 4 goalline fumble. After that, Mitchell played just 9% of the Colts’ offensive snaps in the four games in which he played.
His trade to New York looks to have kick-started his career, and with it, his fantasy relevance. At the conclusion of Sunday’s games, Mitchell was the WR6 of the week. Since coming to the Jets, Mitchell is tied for ninth among wide receivers in total targets. The Jets have an opening at WR1 as long as Garrett Wilson remains out. And with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, the passing game is at least viable. I’m not ready to anoint Mitchell as the chosen one. But I do believe in opportunity being key in fantasy. And targets are opportunities. View Mitchell as a WR3 with touchdown and big play upside until Wilson returns.
Verdict: NOT an Overreaction
Did you SEE that catch?! You can trust Treylon Burks in your starting lineups!!
In a week filled with highlight-reel catches, Treylon Burks may have had the highest light of all. His spectacular one-handed touchdown grab in a thrilling Sunday night showdown against the Broncos drew immediate comparisons to Odell Beckham Jr. (and made FSAN head honcho Tyler Bradley positively swoon.) He’s ready for primetime, right?
This is where I hit you with the Bugs Bunny “Hold up”. The score was Burks’s first since 2022. It was also his only catch of the game. Granted, the playing time was encouraging. Burks trailed only Deebo Samuel in snaps and routes run among the Commanders’ wideouts. But remember when we gushed about opportunity two paragraphs ago? Yeah, about that… Burks only saw four targets total in the game. That trailed Samuel’s seven, Zach Ertz’s 13, and Terry McLaurin’s 14 targets among Washington pass catchers. And several of those targets were late-game prayers that had no real chance of completion. Be happy for Burks, and it’s ok to allow yourself some optimism about his Dynasty future. But slow the roll on his fantasy value. He’s a flyer/stash play at best for now.
Verdict: Overreaction
GoYAADi’s Overreactions
The Bears are Da’ Bears again! (and are headed to the Super Bowl)
The momentum just shifted in the NFC on Friday night. The Bears walked into a primetime showcase and dogwalked (bearwalked?) the Eagles, a supposed NFC powerhouse. That win didn’t feel like a blip; it felt like the moment Chicago’s entire trajectory snapped into place. You could see it on the sideline, in the huddle, in the way the Eagles’ defense kept looking around like they realized they were trapped in a new reality: the Bears are not who they thought they were.
The catalyst for this transformation sits squarely on the shoulders of two men. Ben Johnson, the hire that changed everything, has turned this franchise into a rhythmic, calculated, explosive machine. His scheme is cleaner, and the offensive identity finally matches the talent on the roster.
Then there’s Caleb Williams, whose evolution is powering the entire surge. His pocket presence has tightened, and the stat line proves it. His sack totals have plummeted from last year’s brutal 48 to a much more composed 21 through the same stretch in 2025. That’s not luck. That’s coaching meeting talent, and talent answering back.
The Bears didn’t just beat the Eagles. They lit the fuse. Now they look like Super Bowl contenders.
Verdict: Rex Grossman Era Overreaction
Lamar Jackson is a mere mortal! (Drop him)
Lamar Jackson hasn’t just struggled the last two weeks…he fell off the quarterback cliff, crashed through quarterback tree branches, and landed squarely in the “maybe he should stay on waivers in guillotine leagues” conversation. Based on the last eight quarters, we must now conclude that Lamar Jackson is officially washed, broken, dusted, cooked, finished, expired, and ready to be repurposed as a gadget running back.
The last two weeks have delivered a combined stat line that reads like a ransom note. He’s sitting more than 150 total yards below his 2024 pace (299.2 total yards per game), and he’s produced zero explosive plays. That phrase has never belonged anywhere near Lamar Jackson’s name. Also, his passer rating the last two weeks is nearly 20 points lower than his 2024 season average, and the Ravens’ offense has sputtered like someone put diesel in a Ferrari.
Lamar Jackson is officially a guillotine-league droppable quarterback, a man whose dynasty managers must now trade for pennies, and the newest punchline in Baltimore’s two-week panic spiral.
Verdict: He’ll probably drop 40 next week…
Ty Recino’s Overreactions
JOE BURROW IS BACK!!!
In his first game since week 2, it took no time for Joe Burrow to get back into the swing of things. He threw a whopping 46 pass attempts as the offense went pass-heavy. The Bengals toppled division-rival Baltimore in Baltimore on Primetime on Thanksgiving Day and arguably looked the best they have all season. The offense and defense were clicking. For Joey B, he had 240+ yards and 2 touchdowns. He put up those numbers without his 2nd best receiving option in Tee Higgins. Tee Higgins should be back next week, and he’ll have both him & Ja’Marr Chase, and the trio fully healthy will be lethal. I was a little concerned about how his turf toe injury would impact him; he put all those doubts to rest. Joe Burrow is HIM and is BACK! I have no concern with him being back to a top-10, even pushing being a top-5 quarterback for the rest of the season.
Verdict: Not an Overreaction
Concern for Saquon Barkley?
Coming into the season, Saquon Barkley was drafted as a 1st round talent. He certainly has not lived up to that and is playing like a mid-round talent. Through the first 8 weeks of the year, he was RB9 and had several big games. Over the last 4 games, he’s only averaging 55 rushing yards per game and has failed to score a touchdown. The entire Eagles offense has struggled during this time, but Saquon isn’t doing much to help. It’s not due to lack of attempts either, as he’s averaged 18 attempts per game, compared to the 16 attempts during the first 8 weeks. This has made his yards per carry drop from 4.1 to 3.1. To give him some credit, two of the last 4 games were against good defenses in Green Bay & Detroit. On the other side, the last two games were against the Cowboys & Bears, two teams with horrid defenses. The Eagles have a very favorable schedule ahead from a fantasy perspective, with two games against the Commanders, the Raiders, & the Bills. With many trade deadlines already behind us, I’m lowering my expectations for Saquon and not seeing him as my RB1. In daily fantasy leagues, I’m not touching him, even with the favorable matchups.
Verdict: Valid reason for concern, but favorable matchups ahead can make him worth starting