Welcome to Overreaction Monday (Week 6). This is where we come to take a completely reasonable look at this week’s slate of NFL games and react to them in a calm, cool, and collected manner. Just kidding!
It’s Overreaction Monday! Let’s get crazy and see what the guys have to say.
Ty Recino’s Overreactions
The Panthers should rock with Rico Dowdle the Rest of the Year
The best two-game stretch of any running back this year is from Rico Dowdle of the Carolina Panthers. Rico Dowdle has a whopping 389 yards on the ground through two games. That is absolutely insane, especially for someone who is not even the RB1 on their own team. Chuba Hubbard has been out these last two games, and they should just let him sit the rest of the year or try to trade him and run the Rico train. Rico Dowdle’s numbers already have him top-25 on the season in rushing yards, but I don’t think Rico will be able to continue his reign of terror for the rest of the year. The Cowboys and the Dolphins are both bottom-5 in rushing yards allowed per game. The competition from here on out is tougher, and he won’t get the same opportunities, especially when their team plays from behind in more games.
Verdict: A Bit of an overreaction
You Need to Stack Jaxson Dart & Cam Skattebo
It’s been 3 games for rookie Jaxson Dart getting the start, and he’s gone 2-1 in those 3 games. He’s passed for over 500 yards, 4 touchdowns, and also has rushed for 160+ yards and 3 touchdowns. Dart’s ability to get it done on the ground has been rather impressive. His running ability has not held back fellow rookie Cam Skattebo from also exceeding. In the same three-game span, Skattebo has had over 300 combined yards and 3 touchdowns. This has also been against two good defenses in the Philadelphia Eagles and the Los Angeles Chargers. If you stack them both in fantasy, touchdowns and rushing yards are going to come from one of the two. The Giants’ outlook is more promising, and the two rookies are going to continue to light up the scoreboard together. Skattebo needs to be rostered from here on out, but Dart’s one that needs to be watched, as his passing hasn’t been necessarily impressive.
Verdict: Slight overreaction
GOYAADi’s Overreactions
Baker Mayfield is the MVP!
No Chris Godwin…No Mike Evans…No Bucky Irving…Now NO EMEKA E-BEE-BOO?!? (Hat Tip: Gronk pronouncing Emeka Egbuka)
NO. PROBLEM. Baker Mayfield has the Buccaneers firing on all cylinders to the tune of an NFL-best 5-1 record. Through six games, the Buccaneers quarterback has thrown 12 touchdowns to just one interception, completing over two-thirds of his passes and leading the NFL in fourth-quarter comebacks (four and counting).
Once dismissed as cocky, Baker has matured into a confident leader with enough swagger to keep the game fun. When asked about the MVP talk, he shrugged it off in vintage Baker fashion: “Same s—, different day,” he said, before adding, “Individual accolades…I cannot do it without the guys next to me.” That balance of grit and humility defines his 2025 campaign, especially since the “guys next to him” are dropping like flies. The same quarterback who used to troll defenses is now torching them, dropping darts under pressure and orchestrating comeback drives like a conductor. And yet, the pop-culture-loving gunslinger still sneaks in one-liners from DMX and TLC during interviews. As Baker puts it, “We don’t wanna chase waterfalls, we don’t want no scrubs.” That’s an MVP vibe if ever there was one.
Verdict: Not an overreaction
Jalen Hurts is the 4th-best QB…in his division…
I never thought I’d type these words, not as a die-hard Eagles fan: Jalen Hurts is the worst QB in the NFC East this season. It hurts me more than you know. I’ve watched him struggle in games he should be dominating, while Dak Prescott is piling up yardage and touchdowns, Jayden Daniels is back and healthy, and rookie Jaxson Dart is flashing flashes of flashy flashiness.
Consider this: Dak leads the NFC East with 1,671 passing yards so far. Meanwhile, Hurts is lagging by nearly 500, with just 1172 passing yards. Jaxson Dart just proved it in a head-to-head matchup, throwing for 195 yards and a touchdown, while rushing for 58 yards and another score. Dart’s creating plays; Hurts too often looks contained, stalling drives, and missing wide-open deep shots.
I’ve tried to justify it: “Well, he’s efficient and protects the ball.” Yes, that’s kind of true. But what good is no interceptions if you also can’t push the offense deep or challenge defenses? It stings to admit, but right now, Hurts is behind Prescott, behind Daniels, and yes, even behind Dart (in upside). The pecking order is harsh, but there it is.
Verdict: A brutal realization, maybe, but not an overreaction
FFMadScientist’s Overreactions
AJ Barner is a Set-and-Forget TE Rest of Season
Barner has posted 12 or more fantasy points in 4 of 6 games this season and has seen a snap share of over 80% in every game except for Week 3. He has 4 touchdowns on the season to go with 17 catches and 205 receiving yards. Barner has only 18 targets on the season, and Week 5 was the only game in which he saw more than 3 targets, so his workload isn’t there yet, but it could be soon.
The Seahawks have been a run-heavy team this year, with Sam Darnold throwing more than 30 times in a game only twice. Barner is going to struggle with volume and is going to have to produce with limited touches, but he is acting as the emergency check-down for Darnold and is a threat in the redzone. If Barner can continue to build on his current usage and reach 5 targets per game consistently, his touchdown upside leaves him as a set-and-forget mid-range TE1 for the rest of the season.
Verdict: Slight overreaction. The bar is low for TE, but I’m not there yet.
D.K. Metcalf will finish as a Top 10 Receiver
Going into the season, I had high hopes for Metcalf, so this might be a case of wish-casting, but here it goes. At this “advanced age”, Aaron Rodgers is still good at one thing: hyper-targeting his main receiver. Davante Adams was a nobody before Aaron Rodgers came along and showered him with what seemed like an infinite number of targets.
Trust is a big deal for a veteran quarterback like Rodgers, and on a roster with very few reliable pass-catchers, Rodgers is going to lock in on Metcalf every chance he gets. It hasn’t been an extreme amount to this point in the season, with Metcalf averaging just over 5 targets per game through Week 6. The problem to date has been that the Steelers have been winning and have been in game scripts that have allowed them to run the ball consistently.
As the season progresses, the Steelers are going to be in more negative game scripts and are going to be forced to throw the ball. When that happens, Rodgers is going to lock in on Metcalf, and he is going to receive double-digit targets each week. When that happens, Metcalf is going to go on a hot streak, which will allow him to finish as a top 10 receiver by season’s end.
Verdict: Not an overreaction. Rodgers loves to hyper-target his WR1
Chase Thornton’s Overreactions
Hollywood Brown is a starting fantasy wideout!!
Headed into Monday night’s doubleheader, Marquise Brown was the WR7 for Week 6 and WR21 on the season. Among wide receivers, he ranked 15th in targets, 12th in receptions, and was tied for 12th in touchdown receptions. So, he should be at least a FLEX consideration, if not a starter, right?!?
Wrong!
Brown has been good for the Chiefs this season. Kansas City is getting exactly what they need from their third wide receiver- another season of solid play while one (or both) of their starters misses time. But consider this: even with Rashee Rice missing most of last season, Brown could only muster a 19.0% target share on the year. This season, his share is 20.7%. Those aren’t long-term starting wideout numbers, and that’s without Rashee Rice and (this season) largely without Xavier Worthy. In Weeks 2 and 3 this season, without either, Brown ranked as the WR67 and 46. He was out-targeted by Tyquan Thornton and matched by Noah Gray. And now Worthy is healthy, and Rice is returning from suspension. Brown’s been a solid backup, and he’s rosterable, but he’s only startable in the direst of situations.
Verdict: Overreaction
The Cardinals would be better off for fantasy with Jacoby Brissett as their starter!!
Without starter Kyler Murray under center, the Cardinals came up short against the Colts in Week 6. But it wasn’t because the offense sputtered behind backup Jacoby Brissett. Against the Colts’ defense, Arizona had its best offensive day of the season. The Cardinals set or tied season highs in yards (400), first downs (25), and points (27). And that’s in a week where they were also down to their fifth option at running back and lost Marvin Harrison early to concussion protocol. Trey McBride had his best fantasy day of the year. Of the Cards’ top seven wide receiver fantasy days of 2025, three of them came on Sunday.
Kyler Murray is one of the better runners at the quarterback position in the league. And he’s capable of keeping the Cardinals’ skill position players fantasy-relevant at worst. But there’s no denying that the offense just performed notably better with Brissett despite also relying on backups at other positions. It might be fun to see them at full strength with Brissett at the helm. It won’t happen, of course, but it’s fun to consider.
Verdict: Not necessarily an overreaction.
Well, there you have it, folks. Those are our completely rational and not at all knee-jerk reactions to this week in the NFL. Check back next week for more level-headed fantasy football takes at FSAN.
Check out Mike Lindberg and Brendon Booth‘s Week 6 Overreaction video on the FSAN YouTube Channel on this week’s Fantasy Forecast.