Your Scott Fish Bowl 15 draft is probably right around the corner. If you’re unfamiliar with the scoring setup, don’t worry – we’ve got you covered. But the main focus this year is VOLUME. Volume is king in SFB15. With that, we have seen numerous projections and rankings, but I wanted to share my top 5 values based on ADP. I pulled these for Going for 2 SFB15 ADP. This is pulled from the hundreds of mock drafts that Geoff and his team run all day, every day. So let’s dive into my top 5 ADP values for SFB15.
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SFB15 Value Picks
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Wide Receiver, Detroit Lions (ADP 19, WR5)
It may seem like a no-brainer that Amon-Ra St. Brown is a top 5 wide receiver in ADP, but I love it because I believe he should be a top 3 option. Currently, he is going as the 5th wide receiver off the board. That’s behind Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, and Malik Nabers. It’s not a criminally low value compared to some of the others on the list, but A.R.S.B. should be a higher SFB15 pick.
Out of the group of top-tier wide receivers, he is the one who has a combo of all 3 things I want to see. History, Target Volume, and Low Injury Risk. We can’t fault Nabers for not having the history. He has only played one season, and in that season was a target monster and was healthy. My issue with Nabers is the revolving door at quarterback. Yes, it is an upgrade from the rotation he had last year, but it still makes me pause. The fact that I can get St. Brown last in the second round of drafts is crazy. He has the history of both being on the field, something Lamb, Jefferson, and Chase don’t have, and the target volume. Remember, Volume is king in SFB15 this year. Getting a guy at the end of the second round who could lead the league in targets is screaming value.
Baker Mayfield: Quarterback, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (ADP 42, QB8)
I know we all love rushing quarterbacks. Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, and Jayden Daniels should be the first four quarterbacks taken in your SFB15 draft. With the lineup requirements this year, you don’t need to draft any, but smart money is still on having at least one, if not two, solid ones for your two Superflex spots. After the big four rushing guys, right now, Joe Burrow is fifth. The question for me is, who is the sixth man? Currently, it’s Patrick Mahomes, followed by Bo Nix and then Baker Mayfield.
Baker Mayfield is the guy I’m targeting in the 4th round. While he doesn’t rush the ball as much as the big four, he did have 60 rushing attempts last year, which was the 14th most. When you put that on top of him throwing 41 passing touchdowns, you have a high-floor player. Going after Mahomes is crazy. Baker put up 381 fantasy points last year. A number Mahomes has only surpassed twice in his career, and not since 2022. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers just got better this offseason with Chris Godwin coming back healthy and adding Emeka Egbuka. The volume will be there. It’s as if people are forgetting that Mayfield was 5th in total passing attempts last season and 2nd in completions.
James Conner: Running Back, Arizona Cardinals (ADP 57, RB23)
Running back is one of the easiest places to secure volume this year, according to Scott Fish Bowl. At the top of the position, you are going to see guys like Saquon Barkley, Bijan Robinson, and Jahmyr Gibbs who are going to easily see 350+ total touches. As you go down the list, you start seeing players in the 250-300 touch range. What shocks me is how far down the list you have to get to see James Conner.
While I know Conner is not the flashy pick, he is the volume pick. He saw 291 opportunities last season. 56 of which were targets. We want pass-catching running backs due to the points per target and receptions (MFL leagues) and 2.5 points per reception (Sleeper leagues). Conner is currently going behind rookies Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson. Both are unproven players who look to be in time shares. Conner is being drafted almost a full round behind Joe Mixon and Chuba Hubbard. Both of which had similar opportunity numbers last season. Even at 30 years old, he has no real competition behind him. Trey Benson was a non-factor last season. The same can’t be said for Mixon and Hubbard, as both teams have brought in talented backs to be in rotation with them in Nick Chubb and Rico Dowdle. I’ll take all of Conner’s Volume rounds after those guys, and while others are taking time share rookies. Seems like an easy way to get ahead in SFB15.
Courtland Sutton: Wide Receiver, Denver Broncos (ADP 83, WR28)
One thing I’m looking for especially in a late-round player is that they are a top weapon on their team. That’s what Courtland Sutton is. He is the clear number one wide receiver on the Denver Broncos. A team that is on the come-up with a blossoming star at quarterback in Bo Nix. When we get into the middle rounds (rds. 6-9), getting a guy who has similar volume to guys going rounds earlier is how you accrue value. Remember, volume is king.
Courtland Sutton had 135 targets last year. The Broncos brought in tight end Evan Engram, but other than that, there isn’t anyone else pushing to cut into Sutton’s target share. Sutton is currently going after Zay Flowers, DeVonta Smith, and Xavier Worthy. None of those guys cracked 120 targets last season. Even if you project an increase for them, they are just getting into Sutton’s volume range. Sutton had a similar volume and production last year to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who is currently being drafted in the 4th round. The value of Sutton is huge right now. Draft him in the early 7th or late 6th and enjoy the value.
Rachaad White: Running Back, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( ADP 143, RB45)
We have already talked about how running backs are a great way to accrue volume. The later you go we start seeing their total volume decrease. This is where you can find you can find value. Rachaad White is a steal right now. We know the Buccaneer offense hasn’t changed, so we can assume that neither will White’s role in that offense.
Last season, White lost his starting role to Bucky Irving. Despite that, White still had 144 carries. While I do expect his carry total to decrease, he was still very involved in the passing game. White had 57 targets last season. That was the 9th most last season. Being able to draft a guy who saw just over 200 opportunities last year in the 12th round is crazy value. White is currently going after both Trey Benson and Tyjae Spears. Benson didn’t even crack 100 total opportunities, and so far in his career, hasn’t produced over 65 yards in a game. He isn’t involved in the passing game. Spears averaged 9.9 opportunities per game in the 12 games he played. That would put him on pace for 168 total opportunities. Still falls short of what White did last year and is probably close to where I would project White this year. If we are looking for SFB15 values getting White a round later, then Spears is how you do it.